- FIL broke out of a falling wedge, signaling potential for a bullish reversal
- Market sentiment remains cautious as technical indicators revealed mixed signals of strength
Filecoin [FIL], at the time of writing, seemed to have broken out of its falling wedge pattern on the 8-hour chart, signaling a potential shift in momentum.
Despite this breakout, however, FIL had a press time price of $5.40, with the crypto down by 7.37%. This raises concerns about whether this bullish move can sustain itself. Can the market regain confidence and push FIL higher?
Will FIL rally after breaking the falling wedge?
FIL’s price action showcased a significant technical breakout from its falling wedge pattern, one which typically indicates a bullish reversal. However, after hitting $5.87, the price retraced to $5.40 – A sign of hesitation among traders.
The immediate resistance lay at $6.059 – A key level that must be breached for further gains. On the downside, $4.774 seemed to be serving as a solid support level, one that could prevent a deeper correction.
Source: TradingView
How are Binance funding rates shaping sentiment?
Binance funding rates for FIL were slightly positive at 0.01%, reflecting cautious optimism in the market. While this indicated that traders have been marginally more bullish than bearish, the absence of significant funding rate spikes also hinted at a lack of conviction.
Therefore, for FIL to rally meaningfully, funding rates need to climb higher to reflect increasing demand. Otherwise, the market might remain stagnant in the near term.
Source: Santiment
FIL social metrics lack momentum
Despite the breakout, FIL’s social volume and dominance remain surprisingly low though, with just 8 mentions recorded. This muted social activity highlighted the limited engagement from retail traders, which often fuels market rallies.
Additionally, low social dominance suggested that FIL is not yet on the radar of the broader crypto community. For sustained bullish momentum, social metrics must improve to draw wider attention to FIL’s potential.
Source: Santiment
Technical indicators highlight market hesitation
FIL’s technical indicators revealed a mixed picture. The DMI showed -D at 24.45 exceeding +D at 22.34 – Hinting at slight bearish dominance. Furthermore, the ADX at 13.79 highlighted a weak trend, while the RSI at 49.05 pointed to neutral momentum.
Therefore, Filecoin needs stronger buying pressure to establish a clear bullish trajectory and regain investor confidence.
Source: TradingView
Market sentiment reflects cautious positioning
Finally, Filecoin’s Open Interest fell by 5.79% to $324.7M, indicating declining leveraged positions. Moreover, total liquidations stood at $1.75M, favoring longs, underscoring traders’ lack of confidence.
While the declining Open Interest hinted at reduced market activity, a reversal here could trigger renewed interest in Filecoin’s potential upward move.
Source: Coinglass
Read Filecoin’s [FIL] Price Prediction 2024–2025
Can FIL rally further?
Filecoin’s breakout is encouraging, but its ability to rally depends on breaching the critical resistance at $6.059 and gaining stronger market participation.
Without higher funding rates, improving social metrics, and greater Open Interest, FIL may struggle to sustain its bullish momentum. Therefore, while the breakout holds promise, further upside will depend on renewed buying pressure and market enthusiasm.
