Specifically, a significant proportion of users on Polymarket are wagering that Bitcoin will decline to $75K by the end of March this year. This reflects a prevailing pessimistic sentiment.
A Growing Sense of Apprehension within the Community
It is relatively understandable that many individuals are concerned about the less-than-optimistic outlook for Bitcoin and the broader market this year.
The market is currently exhibiting extreme unpredictability, with major cryptocurrencies demonstrating sluggish momentum, while mid-cap and lower market capitalization coins are increasingly vulnerable due to the escalating fragmentation of market liquidity.
The Fear & Greed Index, a metric used to gauge market sentiment, is currently registering in the ‘Fear’ zone, indicating widespread apprehension that the cryptocurrency market may be susceptible to further significant downturns.
Source: CoinMarketCap
On Polymarket, a significant proportion of participants are betting on Bitcoin falling below $75,000 by the end of March. Furthermore, only 9% of bettors anticipate positive growth for BTC in the first quarter of 2025.
Notably, a substantial 67% of Polymarket bettors believe that Bitcoin will only reach the $70,000 mark by the end of 2025.
Source: Polymarket
It is important to note that Polymarket serves as a reflection of general speculative sentiment within the community, rather than a reliable indicator for investment decisions.
About Polymarket
Polymarket is a decentralized prediction market platform that allows users to bet on the outcomes of real-world events using cryptocurrency. It operates on the Polygon blockchain, a Layer-2 scaling solution for Ethereum, which ensures fast, low-cost, and transparent transactions.
Learn more: Study: 88% of Businesses Reported Higher Revenue after Accepting Crypto Payment
These shares are priced between $0.01 and $1.00 in USDC (a stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar), and if the predicted outcome occurs, the shares pay out at $1 each; otherwise, they become worthless.
The platform is designed to aggregate collective knowledge, often claiming to provide more accurate forecasts than traditional polls by reflecting what people are willing to stake money on. Users can buy, sell, or hold shares based on their confidence in an outcome, and the market prices dynamically adjust to reflect the crowd’s perception of probability.
Polymarket does not hold user funds directly (it’s non-custodial), relying instead on smart contracts to automate trades and payouts, enhancing security and trust.
