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    Bitcoin

    Current Bitcoin Correction Remains Within Historical Limits – The Impact Of An 11.7% Market Drawdown

    Yeek.ioBy Yeek.ioDecember 25, 2024No Comments4 Mins Read
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    Bitcoin is showing remarkable resilience as it holds strong above the $92,000 demand level, reflecting a bullish structure in the face of recent volatility. Yesterday, the leading cryptocurrency surged to $99,400, signaling renewed momentum and increasing optimism among investors. This surge reaffirms Bitcoin’s ability to bounce back from local lows, maintaining its upward trajectory.

    Top analyst Axel Adler shared valuable insights on X, highlighting that the current macro correction remains well within the acceptable range of historical price drawdowns. According to Adler, the local maximum drawdown sits at 11.7%, a figure that aligns with previous healthy corrections during bullish cycles. This suggests that Bitcoin’s price action continues to follow a predictable pattern, further strengthening the case for its sustained growth.

    As BTC hovers near the critical $100,000 psychological level, market participants are closely monitoring its next moves. A decisive breakout above this threshold could mark the beginning of a new phase of price discovery while maintaining support at $92,000 underscores strong demand and confidence in the asset. 

    With macroeconomic conditions and on-chain metrics aligning favorably, BTC appears poised for further gains, keeping investors and analysts attentive to its evolving price dynamics.

    Price Remains Strong

    Bitcoin has shown remarkable resilience despite experiencing a recent 15% correction from its all-time high (ATH) of $108,364 to a local low of $92,100. While the correction sparked some uncertainty in the market, Bitcoin’s price remains strong and continues to hold crucial support levels. Analysts and investors are now closely monitoring the market for signs of where BTC could go next.

    CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler recently shared key insights, revealing that the current macro correction is well within the typical range of price drawdowns observed in Bitcoin’s previous cycles. According to Adler, the local maximum drawdown stands at 11.7%, which aligns with healthy correction patterns typically seen during bull markets. 

    Bitcoin Price Drawdown Analysis | Source: Axel Adler on X

    In contrast, the most significant drawdown during this cycle occurred in August of this year, when Bitcoin’s price dropped by 26.4%. This comparison suggests that the current correction is relatively mild and doesn’t signal any significant market weakness.

    Given the historical context and the fact that Bitcoin’s recent correction remains within an acceptable range, everything appears to be on track for continued bullish momentum. Analysts are optimistic that BTC will soon regain its upward trajectory as demand remains strong. 

    Investors are waiting for a decisive breakout, particularly above key resistance levels, to confirm the next phase of growth. As the market stabilizes, Bitcoin is well-positioned for further gains in the long term.

    Technical Levels: Strong Demand Holding

    Bitcoin’s demand remains strong as it continues to hold above the $92K mark, a critical level that has supported the price during recent volatility. The recent price action shows BTC is now pushing above $98,000, a key level that must be reclaimed for the bullish momentum to continue. 

    BTC testing supply below $100K
    BTC testing supply below $100K | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

    If the bulls manage to push above and hold this level, a rapid surge above $100K could follow, setting Bitcoin on a path toward price discovery. The market sentiment would likely turn even more positive, fueling a potential rally.

    However, the scenario could shift quickly if BTC fails to maintain its strength above $95,500. A drop below this level would suggest weakening demand and could lead to a retest of lower support levels. This could potentially send BTC into a consolidation phase or trigger further price declines, depending on the market’s response. 

    Traders and investors are closely watching the $95,500 mark as a critical support level to gauge the short-term direction. If Bitcoin stays above this level, the bullish outlook remains intact, but losing it would signal that the market is losing steam.

    Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

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