DeepSeek, the Chinese open-source AI model making waves in Silicon Valley, is extremely bullish on Bitcoin, predicting a potential peak of between $500,000 and $600,000 by the first quarter of 2026. This bold outlook emerged after the AI was asked to factor in both historical models and on-chain data, alongside a pro-Bitcoin approach from President Trump.
DeepSeek’s Bitcoin Price Prediction
DeepSeek begins by discussing what it calls the “Key Implications of the Crypto Executive Order,” which it believes would change the calculus for both institutional and retail participants. The AI states that “The exploration of a national Bitcoin reserve signals institutional validation of Bitcoin as a strategic asset. If the US government accumulates Bitcoin, it could create a significant supply shock, driving prices higher.”
This comment reflects a view that the market could tighten substantially if large public entities, such as national treasuries, decide to hold Bitcoin in reserve. Furthermore, DeepSeek highlights the possibility that “other nations and institutions could follow suit,” which would add to the upward price pressure if a wave of competitive accumulation were to ensue.
Related Reading
The AI also remarks that by banning CBDCs, the Trump administration would be “effectively positioning Bitcoin and other decentralized cryptocurrencies as the primary alternatives to fiat currencies,” which is a bold departure from the policies adopted or explored by many other jurisdictions that tend to see CBDCs as a means of maintaining control over monetary policy in a digital economy.
DeepSeek believes regulatory clarity is another fundamental driver likely to magnify Bitcoin’s gains. It explicitly points out that the “establishment of a cryptocurrency working group led by David Sacks suggests a pro-innovation regulatory approach” and that such a policy stance is likely to foster a favorable climate for crypto businesses and financial institutions looking for stable guidelines.
The AI argues that this, in turn, could encourage accelerated institutional inflows and broader mainstream acceptance of Bitcoin, especially if companies are assured that the regulatory framework allows them to innovate without fear of sudden legal or compliance obstacles. DeepSeek goes on to address the geopolitical aspects of the executive order by saying, “The US is taking a leadership role in the digital asset space, which could strengthen the dollar’s dominance while simultaneously boosting Bitcoin’s status as a global store of value.”
Delving into the specific timeline, the AI predicts that any news about the realization of thr strategic Bitcoin reserve could trigger a short-lived but potent rally, potentially pushing the price to the $120,000–$130,000 bracket as traders, institutions, and the media absorb the implications of a government-led push for a national Bitcoin reserve and enhanced regulatory clarity.
DeepSeek expects that by the second and third quarters of 2025, as conversations around the working group’s findings gain momentum, institutional investors and retail market participants may exhibit what DeepSeek calls “Institutional FOMO,” leading to a jump in Bitcoin’s price to the $200,000–$250,000 zone.
Related Reading
The AI model then projects that by the end of 2025, the price might rise further, potentially reaching $300,000–$350,000. It points to ongoing speculation about the government’s Bitcoin purchases, or at least the possibility of such purchases, as well as heightened recognition of Bitcoin’s role as a global reserve asset. DeepSeek believes this period would be marked by increased media attention, new financial products enabling Bitcoin exposure, and robust demand from both seasoned and new investors.
The AI’s analysis becomes especially dramatic when it turns to the outlook for 2026, tying the bullish price momentum to three key factors: the aftermath of the 2024 Bitcoin halving, growing interest from major institutions, and direct involvement of the US government. DeepSeek says, “Bitcoin could peak at $500,000-$600,000, as the market enters the euphoria phase,” suggesting that the first quarter of 2026 is the most likely time for such a spike.
DeepSeek stresses that the halving would reduce Bitcoin’s issuance, while strong new demand from large-scale players—possibly guided by the new executive order—could further tighten supply. Yet, DeepSeek warns that after this euphoric peak, the market may correct significantly, potentially falling back to the $250,000–$300,000 range by mid to late 2026 as investors realize profits and speculative excesses unwind.
The AI still anticipates a generally positive long-term picture, asserting that “the long-term outlook remains bullish due to Bitcoin’s growing role in the global financial system,” particularly if the regulatory framework introduced during Trump’s administration remains in place and encourages widespread adoption.
At press time, BTC traded at $102,948.
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
