Can Dogecoin realistically surge to the $20 region or higher? In a Elliott Wave Theory breakdown, crypto analyst XForceGlobal presented a case for why the popular meme-coin could continue its upward trajectory. He referred to Dogecoin as “the king of all meme coins” and emphasized that historical price action provides vital clues to its future, stating, “If a coin has long historical data to work with, it pairs very nicely with Elliott Wave theory because it helps reduce the impact of noise within the shorter time frames.”
Dogecoin To $20?
Pointing to Dogecoin’s massive rise from about $0.001 to its previous high of nearly $0.80, he highlighted the possibility that what appeared to be a “pipe dream” is now materializing into a tangible reality. The analyst said, “That to me is from a pipe dream to a reality,” underlining that such an extraordinary leap aligns with the concept of an extended Wave 3 within the Elliott framework. He outlined that markets tend to move in repeated cycles of five impulsive waves and three corrective waves, driven in part by collective investor psychology. According to him, “Elliott Wave theory only provides probabilities, not certainties,” but the longevity and depth of Dogecoin’s price history offer stronger credibility to the wave counts.
By examining the macro chart, he explained how Dogecoin may have completed a Wave 4, describing it as a “very rare looking triangle.” He proposed that a breakout from this formation could initiate a Wave 5 capable of surpassing the previous all-time high, potentially hitting a price level above $4. After labeling a potential five-wave advance from the coin’s historical lows to its peak near $0.80, he argued that the nature of the market’s psychological cycles suggests another large impulse is in play. He added, “We might be working for a larger extended wave three to the upside for the super cycle degree,” referring to the notion that Dogecoin’s broader trend remains intact despite periodic bearish phases.
However, after hitting $4, the Dogecoin price could face a major correction, possibly in the range of 80% to 90 %, which would not necessarily invalidate the bullish narrative. In his words, “Even with a 90% pullback, it’s still extremely bullish… it’s crazy.” He asserted that such steep retracements often occur in crypto markets, yet as long as the underlying structure remains intact, the asset can still continue its macro uptrend.
He anticipates that Dogecoin’s next major upward leg (following the correction) could place the price in a range that includes $12, $25, or even $30. One speculative figure he mentioned was $57, though he cautioned against viewing it as a guaranteed target. Instead, he reminded viewers, “Don’t blame me, blame the Elliott Wave theory…I am only a messenger.”
The analyst also employed “alternation theory” to illustrate how earlier waves within Dogecoin’s chart were sharp, suggesting that subsequent corrective waves might be more sideways in nature, such as triangles or flats. The presence of robust “long historical data,” he explained, helps reveal these larger cyclical patterns more reliably. According to his interpretation, Dogecoin’s Wave 1 and Wave 2 were sharp, and therefore Wave 3 and Wave 4 tend to show the sideways, consolidated motion typical of this principle. He described how the recent pattern could be the end of such a sideways Wave 4, giving way to a final upward Wave 5 before any deep corrective event.
He then turned his attention to “Dino coins,” using the term to describe cryptocurrencies with extensive trading histories that can produce clearer Elliott Wave counts over multiple market cycles. He noted that investors who traded in earlier market cycles, such as in 2018, likely recognize the patterns and significance behind these older assets. “I think this is the cycle of still going into Dino coins,” he said, underscoring that such projects often undergo strong rallies if they survive long enough to build momentum in new macro cycles.
At press time, DOGE traded at $0.37775.
Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
